Marin County Real Estate Market Report
January 2025

January 2025 Marin County real estate market report

January 2025 Marin County Real Estate Market Report

Happy new year! Thank you all for your continued support of my business and I am so happy to have worked with so many of you in 2024. As we reflect on last month, we saw the median sold price decline 3% to 1.3 million while the number of homes for sale was up 9%.  The holiday season typically brings a slowdown, and this year was no exception, with inventory, sales, and prices all reflecting normal seasonal patterns.

Median Sold Prices

  • Median Sold Price: $1,300,000, a 3% decline compared to December 2023.
  • Prices also fell 6.5% compared to November 2024, aligning with the seasonal cooling of the market.

Inventory Levels

  • Homes For Sale: Inventory stood at 212 homes in December, a notable 40.8% drop from the previous month. However, compared to December 2023, inventory grew by 8.7%, signaling a somewhat slower December than the prior year.
  • Months of Inventory: Based on closed sales, inventory dropped to 1.4 months, down 33.4% from November 2024 and 6.7% from December 2023, emphasizing the persistent demand.

Sales Activity

  • Number of Homes Sold: 150 homes closed escrow in December, a 12.3% decline from November 2024. However, year-over-year sales increased by 14.5%.
  • Days on Market (DOM): Homes took an average of 52 days to sell, significantly higher than the 36 days recorded in December 2023, reflecting a slower market pace.

Interest Rates and Their Impact

Mortgage rates chart 2024

Interest rates remained elevated, hovering around 7%, continuing to challenge affordability for many buyers. This has caused some potential buyers to stay on the sidelines, while others took advantage of price adjustments to enter the market. Sellers are also adapting, with more realistic pricing strategies evident in the market.

Market Forecast for 2025

Looking ahead, we anticipate the Marin County real estate market will stabilize in the first half of 2025. Key trends to watch include:

  • Interest Rates: Should rates begin to ease later in the year, we could see a resurgence in buyer activity.
  • Inventory Growth: A modest increase in inventory is expected as sellers respond to improving market conditions.
  • Price Trends: Prices are likely to remain relatively flat in the first quarter but could gain momentum in the second half of the year if economic conditions improve.

Opportunities in the Current Market

For buyers, the current market offers opportunities to secure properties at more reasonable prices with less competition. For sellers, proper pricing and home presentation remain critical to attract serious buyers. Homes that “tick all the boxes” are still going quickly and for over asking in some cases.

Now Available Off Market

378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael is available for $2,595,000. This is a beautiful gated home on two acres offering incredible privacy and amazing 270 degree views.

Coming Soon

I am currently working on a beautiful 3 bed/2 bath home in the Forbes/Fairhills neighborhood that offers the unique combination of stunning Mt. Tam views and walk-to-town convenience. More to come!

How Can I Help?

Marin County continues to showcase its resilience and desirability, even amidst shifting market dynamics. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just staying informed, my expertise ensures you’re equipped to navigate Marin’s unique real estate landscape. Let me help pave the road to success for you!

It is never too early to discuss how to best prepare your home for the busy spring selling season.

These market reports are a great place to start, but let’s continue the conversation. I am always happy to discuss the market and the best way to approach buying or selling a home in Marin County or the greater Bay Area. 

If you have any questions about the market or are considering your next real estate move, please don’t hesitate to reach out. Together, let’s make your real estate goals a reality. Call or text me anytime at 415-847-5584.

Check Out My Sizzle Reel!

From the Golden Gate Sotheby’s Bay Area Market Report…

A POSITIVE YEAR

The housing market moderated in 2024 after a strong first half of the year, but overall remained positive. The inventory of homes for sale increased in 2024, with the greater number of options helping to bring more buyers off of the sidelines. A renewed push for a return to the office supported demand for homes in the inner SF Bay Area, while greater stability in the technology industry and record stock market gains boosted sales in the higher price segments.

MACROECONOMIC FACTORS

The SF Bay Area economy added nearly 24,000 jobs in 2024. While payrolls increased in nearly all SF Bay Area counties last year, most of the new jobs were located in the inner SF Bay Area. Employment in the professional and business services sector, which includes many tech jobs, stabilized as large-scale layoffs eased. The unemployment rate increased slightly to 4.4% in 2024, which was still much lower than the long-term average. The relatively tight labor market and continued job gains supported annual wage growth of more than 3% in 2024.

BAY AREA MEDIAN SALES PRICE REACHES RECORD HIGH IN 2024

Strong demand and elevated sales activity in the luxury segment resulted in an increase in the median sales price. While seasonal trends resulted in a slight decrease in prices during the second half of the year, the SF Bay Area median sales price was $1.32 million as of 2024. This was a 5.2% increase compared with 2023, and an annual record high for the region.

LOOKING AHEAD

After decreasing during the first half 2024, mortgage rates rose through late 2024 and into early 2025, and may remain elevated this year. Additionally, given the strength of the national economy, the Federal Reserve is expected to make fewer rate cuts in 2025 to the short term interest rate. The higher borrowing costs and worsening affordability may dampen some sales activity, particularly within the lower price tiers. However, strong wage growth, stock market performance and resumption of hiring in the technology sector may offset some of this effect. Furthermore, as highlighted in 2024, the demand pool for housing in the SF Bay Area is deep and remarkably resilient. Along with more stable demographic trends, these factors provide significant tailwinds for the SF Bay Area single family market in 2025.

Please click here to read the full report.

What My Clients Are Saying…

Now Available!

378 Margarita Drive
Available Off Market
378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael view of Mt. Tamalpais at sunset
378 Margarita Drive | San Rafael
Spectacular Country Club Gated Estate Offering Complete Privacy and Stunning Panoramic Views
Offered Exclusively for $2,595,000

Swipe to See More Homes

40 Alta vista
Sold by Thomas
40 Alta Vista San Anselmo
40 Alta Vista Avenue | San Anselmo
A Chance to Own One of Winship Park’s Legacy Properties on 1+ Acres with Mt. Tam Views
Sold by Thomas for $5,250,000

Swipe to See More Homes

21 Edgewood Way
Sold in One Week for $105,000 Over Asking
21 Edgewood Way San Rafael CA front exterior at twilight
21 Edgewood Way | San Rafael
Beautiful Contemporary Home Offering Panoramic Views in Coveted Fairhills
Sold for $2,300,000 in One Week

Swipe to See More Homes

23 maplewood drive
Sold for $55,000 Over Asking
40 Rodeo Avenue Sausalito living room
23 Maplewood Drive | San Rafael
EBeautifully Remodeled Glenwood Home with Sparkling Swimming Pool and Fenced Backyard with Direct Access to Victor Jones Park
Sold for $2,050,000

Swipe to See More Homes

40 rodeo ave
Sold for $255,000 Over Asking
40 Rodeo Avenue Sausalito living room
40 Rodeo Avenue | Sausalito
Enchanting Mid-Century Modern Retreat with Breathtaking Panoramic Views
Sold in One Week for $1,795,000

Swipe to See More Homes

5 Norwood Ave
Sold in One Day for $505k Over Asking!
5 Norwood Avenue Ross California
5 Norwood Avenue | Ross
Bespoke Spanish Mediterranean Home in the Coveted Flats of Ross
with Walk-to-Everything Convenience
Sold in One Day for $505,000 Over Asking at $4,200,000

Swipe to See More Homes

previous arrowprevious arrow
next arrownext arrow

Marin Real Estate Market Stats

Marin County Home Sales by City Chart YE 2024
Marin County Real Estate Market Trends YE2024

Marin County Real Estate Market Report Charts

(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)

“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices

January 2025 Marin Real Estate Market Report home prices chart

Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold

January 2025 Marin Real Estate Market Report days on market chart

Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales

January 2025 Marin Real Estate Market Report months of home inventory graph

Average Price Per Square Foot

January 2025 Marin Real Estate Market Report price per square foot chart

Marin County Number of Homes on the Market

January 2025 Marin Real Estate Market Report number of homes for sale graph

I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.

Would you like to see this data for your town only?

I am also excited to announce that my website now has new real estate market reports by town with more coming soon. Please check these out:

Belvedere Real Estate Market Report

Corte Madera Real Estate Market Report

Fairfax Real Estate Market Report

Kentfield Real Estate Market Report

Larkspur Real Estate Market Report

Mill Valley Real Estate Market Report

Novato Real Estate Market Report

San Anselmo Real Estate Market Report

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report

Tiburon Real Estate Market Report

These are all accessible from the “Market Reports” menu item here on my website at any time.

Marin County Realtor Thomas Henthorne headshot

About the Author

Thomas Henthorne is consistently top-ranked, award-winning real estate agent in Marin, helping people buy and sell homes for almost a decade. He writes the #1 real estate blog in Marin County and is a frequent speaker on panels at industry gatherings.

He may be reached at 415-847-5584.

Share Your Thoughts Here

0 replies

Leave a Comment

What do you think?
Please leave your comment below!

What Do You Think? Please Leave Your Comment Here....