Marin County Real Estate Market Report
March 2025

March 2025 Marin county real estate market report

March 2025 Marin County Real Estate Market Report

The Marin County real estate market continued to shift to a more balanced market last month, reflecting seasonal trends and ongoing economic fluctuations. The median sold price held steady year-over-year at $1,460,000, while homes spent more time on the market, averaging 75 days—a significant increase from 56 days a year ago. Meanwhile, inventory rose considerably, up 37.5%, offering more options for buyers as we head into the traditionally busier spring market.

Interest Rates and Economic Factors

Mortgage rates remained elevated, influenced by persistent inflation. January’s inflation, at a 3% year-over-year increase according to CNBC, suggests continued upward pressure on borrowing costs and affordability challenges. Economists are monitoring inflation closely, cautioning that the recent period of disinflation may be ending, potentially affecting mortgage rates and purchasing power throughout 2025.

The stock market’s volatility, moving into correction territory, is causing some buyers to invest in real estate instead. One of my clients indicated that she feels safer with her savings in a home in Marin rather than in the market which has experienced dizzying extremes of late.

Looking Ahead: Spring Market Forecast

In early 2025, buyers could find increased negotiating power due to rising inventory and longer market times. Sellers should prepare for careful pricing and thoughtful presentation to stand out in a competitive environment. With broader economic factors like inflation and interest rate volatility playing critical roles, informed decision-making will be key.

Having said this, the market almost seems to be reacting on a house by house basis. Homes that have what buyers are looking for and are well priced for the market and well presented are selling quickly, sometimes with multiple offers. For example, fifteen newly listed homes in Mill Valley went pending within two weeks. Some within a couple of days. 

Just Listed

378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael is available for $2,495,000. This is a beautiful gated home on two acres offering incredible privacy and amazing 270 degree views.

6 Bay Laurel Lane in San Rafael’s Lucas Valley Estates is an amazing, single-level gated estate that offers resort style living. With over 3700 sq ft of living space, 5 beds/3.5 baths, pool, level yard, this home offers resort-style living at home. 

133 Spring Grove Avenue in San Rafael’s coveted West End neighborhood is a beautiful 3 BR/2BA home with two family rooms, a remodeled kitchen and a great outdoor entertaining space just off the main living area. Located in the flats of San Rafael’s West End Neighborhood, this special home offers walk-to-everything convenience in a wonderful neighborhood. 

Coming Soon

I have a very exciting listing in Sonoma coming soon truly reminiscent of a boutique resort complete with a stunning 7 bed/7.5 bath mid-century modern home, 60+ ft saltwater pool, tennis court, geothermal soaking tubs, exquisitely landscaped grounds and much more!

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How Can I Help?

Marin County continues to showcase its resilience and desirability, even amidst shifting market dynamics. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just staying informed, my expertise ensures you’re equipped to navigate Marin’s unique real estate landscape. Let me help pave the road to success for you!

These market reports are a great place to start, but let’s continue the conversation. I am always happy to discuss the market and the best way to approach buying or selling a home in Marin County or the greater Bay Area. 

If you have any questions about the market or are considering your next real estate move, please don’t hesitate to reach out. Together, let’s make your real estate goals a reality. Call or text me anytime at 415-847-5584.

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From the Golden Gate Sotheby’s Bay Area Market Report

FORWARD MOMENTUM

The housing market in the Bay Area continued to gain momentum leading up to the spring buying season. Sales and pricing increased even as more homes came onto the market. The regional economy continued to support a strong base of housing demand, with thousands of new jobs and a tight labor market supporting strong income growth. On the other hand, mortgage rates remained elevated, which kept some buyers on the sidelines. However, some signs of improvement for rates and availability of mortgage loans could bring some of these buyers into the market in the coming months.

Active listings continued to increase in February with nearly 5,600 homes on the market. This was 1,000 more homes than the previous month and 1,700 more than last year. Potential buyers gained more options in nearly every part of the Bay Area in February, but inventory increased the most in Alameda, Contra Costa, Sonoma and Napa counties, each growing by more than 50% year-over-year. Meanwhile, San Francisco was the only county with fewer homes on the market than last year.

Sales activity also increased and surpassed last year’s levels. More than 2,300 homes sold in the Bay Area in February after increasing 25% year-over-year. However, the situation was bifurcated at the county level. There was an uptick in sales in relatively affordable parts of the Bay Area, including Sonoma and Solano counties. Conversely, fewer homes sold in San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties; although, this was in part because sales activity was so strong last year.

Bay area real estate sales by price point chart

UPPER PRICE TIER LEADS THE WAY

Higher priced home sales volume remained strong, while sales of relatively more affordable homes also improved. The number of homes sold for more than $2.5 million increased by 25% year-over-year to 300 sales, which accounted for nearly 15% of the regional total. Much of this increase was because of strong buyer activity in prime neighborhoods on the Peninsula. On the other end of the pricing spectrum, the number of homes sold for less than $1.25 million surged in more aff ordable parts of the Bay Area.
Sales activity in Marin highlighted this bifurcation. In Marin County, nearly 100 homes sold in February, 16% more than last year. Most of the increase stemmed from a rise in sales in relatively affordable Novato even as sales in the higher priced cities of Mill Valley and Tiburon moved higher. Sales in Santa Cruz County decreased both month-over-month and year-over-year, the only county where this was the case.

COMPETITION CONTINUES IN SPITE OF HIGHER INVENTORY

Despite the growing number of homes for buyers to choose from, many sellers received multiple offers and homes sold quickly, especially in the Inner Bay Area. Nearly 60% of homes sold for more than the list price in the Bay Area. This share was more than three-fourths in San Francisco and Santa Clara counties and more than two-thirds in Alameda and San Mateo counties. Further highlighting the competition among buyers, homes that sold for more than the list price received 11% more on average. Notably, the average was much higher in San Francisco at 20%. In addition to a majority of homes selling for more than the list price, homes spent approximately one month on the market, less time than in January. The average days on market remained less than three weeks in Alameda, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties. Highlighting demand in the luxury segment, homes priced at more than $2.5 million sold in 24 days on average, nearly a week less than last year.

LOOKING AHEAD

Overall, the market is poised for a strong spring, with potential for near-record median prices and more homes coming onto the market. Furthermore, improvement in buyer activity is broad-based across neighborhoods and price points. Accelerating hiring and decreasing mortgage rates would also support additional demand for single family homes. However, there is growing uncertainty of international migration to the Bay Area, a significant component of housing demand. While monitoring these developments remains important, recent trends highlight the resilient demand and growing optimism in the Bay Area housing market.

Please click here to read the full report.

What My Clients Are Saying…

Now Available!

133 Spring Grove SR
Just Listed
133 Spring Grove Avenue San Rafael exterior
133 Spring Grove Avenue | San Rafael
Beautiful Home in Park-like Setting Located in San Rafael’s Coveted West End Neighborhood
Exclusively Offered for $1,695,000

Swipe to See More Homes

6 Bay Laurel Lane
Just Listed
6 Bay Laurel Lane San Rafael CA pool view
6 Bay Laurel Lane | San Rafael
Exquisitely Remodeled, Single-Level Gated Retreat in Lucas Valley Estates Offering Unparalleled Resort-Style Living
Exclusively Offered for $3,350,000

Swipe to See More Homes

378 Margarita Drive
Just Listed
378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael view of Mt. Tamalpais at sunset
378 Margarita Drive | San Rafael
Spectacular Country Club Gated Estate Offering Complete Privacy and Stunning Panoramic Views
Offered Exclusively for $2,495,000

Swipe to See More Homes

40 Alta vista
Sold by Thomas
40 Alta Vista San Anselmo
40 Alta Vista Avenue | San Anselmo
A Chance to Own One of Winship Park’s Legacy Properties on 1+ Acres with Mt. Tam Views
Sold by Thomas for $5,250,000

Swipe to See More Homes

21 Edgewood Way
Sold in One Week for $105,000 Over Asking
21 Edgewood Way San Rafael CA front exterior at twilight
21 Edgewood Way | San Rafael
Beautiful Contemporary Home Offering Panoramic Views in Coveted Fairhills
Sold for $2,300,000 in One Week

Swipe to See More Homes

40 rodeo ave
Sold for $255,000 Over Asking
40 Rodeo Avenue Sausalito living room
40 Rodeo Avenue | Sausalito
Enchanting Mid-Century Modern Retreat with Breathtaking Panoramic Views
Sold in One Week for $1,795,000

Swipe to See More Homes

5 Norwood Ave
Sold in One Day for $505k Over Asking!
5 Norwood Avenue Ross California
5 Norwood Avenue | Ross
Bespoke Spanish Mediterranean Home in the Coveted Flats of Ross
with Walk-to-Everything Convenience
Sold in One Day for $505,000 Over Asking at $4,200,000

Swipe to See More Homes

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Marin Real Estate Market Stats

Marin county real estate sales by city chart February 2025
Marin county real estate market trends chart February 2025

Marin County Real Estate Market Report Charts

(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)

“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices

Marin county real estate market report March 2025 home prices chart

Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold

Marin county real estate market report March 2025 days on market chart

Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales

Marin county real estate market report March 2025 months of inventory chart

Average Price Per Square Foot

Marin county real estate market report March 2025 price per square foot chart

Marin County Number of Homes on the Market

Marin county real estate market report March 2025 number of homes for sale chart

I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.

Would you like to see this data for your town only?

I am also excited to announce that my website now has new real estate market reports by town with more coming soon. Please check these out:

Belvedere Real Estate Market Report

Corte Madera Real Estate Market Report

Fairfax Real Estate Market Report

Kentfield Real Estate Market Report

Larkspur Real Estate Market Report

Mill Valley Real Estate Market Report

Novato Real Estate Market Report

San Anselmo Real Estate Market Report

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report

Tiburon Real Estate Market Report

These are all accessible from the “Market Reports” menu item here on my website at any time.

Marin County Realtor Thomas Henthorne headshot

About the Author

Thomas Henthorne is consistently top-ranked, award-winning real estate agent in Marin, helping people buy and sell homes for almost a decade. He writes the #1 real estate blog in Marin County and is a frequent speaker on panels at industry gatherings.

He may be reached at 415-847-5584.

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