Marin County Real Estate Market Report
October 2024

October 2024 Marin real estate market report graphic with fall scene

Marin County Real Estate Market Report

October 2024

In September we saw the median home price in Marin County rise to $1.8 million, up 1.2% from the same time last year, while we also saw the inventory of homes increase by 24% to a record high for the last 12 months. It appears the recent interest rate cuts have motivated some buyers and sellers who had been waiting to “see what happens” to move into the market.

Days on Market & Sale-to-List Price Ratio


In September the average days on market (DOM) for homes in Marin County saw a notable decrease compared to the previous month, landing at 36 days.This represents a faster-paced market, where homes are being sold more quickly than in prior months. While the overall days on the market have improved, we are still experiencing a mixed market where homes that are priced and presented well are going quickly, sometimes over the asking price. At the same time, we are also seeing a fair amount of price reductions. This tends to be for  homes that are not priced appropriately for the market and/or are not updated or lack attributes that many buyers are looking for (a good floor plan, easily accessible outdoor space, etc.).  

Marin County Home Prices & Market Activity


The median sold price for Marin County homes in October 2024 increased by 8.7% month-over-month, reaching approximately $1.826 million. Compared to the same period last year, the median price is up by 1.2%, suggesting a steady appreciation in property values. Meanwhile, the average active listing price grew by 3.5%, indicating that sellers remain confident in the market’s potential. Additionally, the average price per square foot increased to $906, a 11.3% rise from September 2024

Inventory & Sales Volume


The number of homes for sale in October surged by 29% compared to September, bringing more options to the market and potentially alleviating some of the competition among buyers. Despite the increased inventory, the number of sold homes grew by 5.2% year-over-year, signaling continued buyer engagement. Pending sales also saw a significant increase of 29% compared to the previous month, which suggests a strong pipeline of transactions set to close in the coming months.

Key Takeaways for Buyers:

  • Enhanced Selection: With inventory up by 29% compared to the previous month, buyers have a wider array of premium homes to choose from. This market shift offers a rare opportunity to explore a broader selection of luxury properties in Marin County.
  • Upward Price Momentum: The median home price has surged by 8.7% month-over-month, and average price per square foot has risen by 11.3%. This signals a robust market with increasing values—buyers who move swiftly can secure their dream homes before further appreciation.
  • Swift Market Pace: Properties are moving quickly, with average days on market down to 36. To compete effectively, buyers should be well-prepared, have financing in place, and be ready to act decisively when the right opportunity arises.

Key Takeaways for Sellers:

  • Market in Your Favor: The sale-to-list price ratio has climbed to an impressive 99%, demonstrating that buyers are willing to pay close to asking prices. Sellers can confidently position their homes at market value, knowing that demand remains strong.
  • Expedited Sales: With homes selling faster than before, the reduced time on market offers a prime window for sellers who desire a smooth, swift transaction.
  • Leverage Pricing Trends: With median sold prices and per-square-foot values both on the rise, this is an opportune moment to list. Sellers can capitalize on the strong buyer demand and current pricing trends, making it a strategic time to bring their luxury property to market.

Now Available and Coming Soon!

378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael view of Mt. Tamalpais at sunset

378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael is available for $2,595,000. This is a beautiful gated home on two acres offering incredible privacy and amazing 270 degree views.

Just Sold and in Contract

I am pleased to announce that several of my listings sold in September and closed in October. 40 Alta Vista Avenue, a gorgeous legacy property in the Winship Neighborhood of San Anselmo, closed for $5,250,000.  

I also sold 21 Edgewood Way in San Rafael in one week for $2,300,000 which was $105,000 over the asking price.

203 H Street in San Rafael is under contract – more about that one next month.

I was also privileged to represent clients on the buy side who successfully closed on 80 Chamberlain Drive in Novato.

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How Can I Help?

While the market is shifting, there are many opportunities out there for smart buyers and sellers. Let me help pave the road to success for you!

It is never too early to discuss how to best prepare your home for the busy spring selling season.

These market reports are a great place to start, but let’s continue the conversation. I am always happy to discuss the market and the best way to approach buying or selling a home in Marin County or the greater Bay Area. 

If you have any questions about the market or are considering your next real estate move, please don’t hesitate to reach out. Together, let’s make your real estate goals a reality. Call or text me anytime at 415-847-5584.

Check Out My Sizzle Reel!

From the Golden Gate Sotheby’s Bay Area Market Report…

ROBUST DEMAND

SF Bay Area housing demand remained strong during the third quarter and lower mortgage rates helped expand the potential buyer pool. The average 30-year mortgage rate decreased by 70 basis points since the second quarter to the low-6% range. Lower mortgage rates supported stronger buying activity, particularly in the lower price tiers, while demand remained robust for higher-priced homes as well.
The SF Bay Area economy added 30,000 jobs since last year, an increase of 0.7%, with stronger job gains in the North Bay and Santa Cruz County. The unemployment rate remained tight in the low-4%range. The labor market should further improve through the remainder of the year, supporting continued buyer demand.
SF Bay area real estate inventory recovering chart October 2024

INCREASING INVENTORY

The inventory of single family homes for sale in the SF Bay Area increased during the third quarter to more than 7,000. The number of homes on the market in Alameda and Contra Costa counties grew to nearly 1,200 each, making these the top two counties for inventory, just ahead of Santa Clara County. Meanwhile, San Francisco County was the only county with fewer homes available than during the same time last year. While the recent increase put active inventory closer to atypical fall season level, inventory was still about 10% less than what might be expected for this time of year.

POSITIVE MOMENTUM DESPITE SEASONAL MODERATION

Sales activity in the SF Bay Area slowed as expected as the summer buying season transitioned to fall. However, even with this seasonal moderation and a relatively tight inventory, sales increased by roughly 10% from a year ago, highlighting continued positive momentum. While sales in most counties slowed during the last three months from a two-year high, there were still more than 2,000 sales in Alameda and Santa Clara counties this quarter.

LOW END OF THE MARKET RESPONDS TO INTEREST RATES

Demand for lower-priced homes is often more sensitive to moves in mortgage rates, and the recent decrease in rates supported stronger sales activity in the under $1.25 million price segment. Closed sales in this price range increased by 7% since the second quarter. This trend also bore out in neighborhoods with greater concentrations of these homes. The number of sales grew quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year in Solano and Sonoma counties, the only two counties where this was the case. Buyers of homes priced greater than $1.25 million can be less sensitive to small moves in rates and sales were little changed from the second quarter.

COMPETITION EASES

Competition among buyers subsided a bit as activity slowed from the summer buying season. More than half of homes sold for more than the listing price, a moderation in line with seasonal trends from the second quarter. These sellers received 10% more than asking on average. The share of homes sold for less than the asking price crept higher to nearly 40% with only a small portion paying the exact list price. Additionally, the average number of days a home spent on the market increased to 28, close to the long-term average of 30 days. The average time on market increased across much of the region, but homes in prime neighborhoods continued to move relatively quickly. In Santa Clara County, homes sold in less than three weeks on average.
Across the SF Bay Area, competition was particularly strong in the $2.5 million to $3.5 million price segment. Homes sold in this price range spent an average of three weeks or less on the market, and nearly two thirds of these homes sold for more than the list price.

ROBUST DEMAND

The end of the summer buying season and greater share of sales activity in lower price tiers resulted in a lower median sales price of $1.29 million. Though pricing decreased from last quarter, the median price was still greater than a year ago. The median price was stable in Solano, Sonoma and Napa counties, with prices nearly unchanged from last quarter. On a year-over-year basis, prices grew in seven of the ten SF Bay Area counties, and were nearly flat in the other three. Yearly gains were greatest in San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties, where the median sales price increased by 5.0% and 4.5%, respectively.

LOOKING AHEAD

The Bay Area housing market has strong momentum as the transition to the fall and winter season begins. Despite some moderation in headline numbers this quarter, healthy buyer demand and sales volume across a range of price tiers highlight the underlying strength of the market. The Federal Reserve also expects to cut the key interest rate one or two times this year. While the impact on mortgage rates is not one-to-one, these interest rate cuts will help lower mortgage rates and improve access to mortgages for potential buyers. Both the improving economy as well as lower borrowing costs could spur even stronger home buying demand in the SF Bay Area and draw more buyers off of the sidelines during what is typically a slower part of the year.

Please click here to read the full report.

What My Clients Are Saying…

Now Available!

203 H Street
Now Available
203 H Street San Rafael front garden hero
203 H Street | San Rafael
Beautifully Remodeled Vintage Victorian Home in the Coveted Forbes Neighborhood
Exclusively Offered for $2,598,000

Swipe to See More Homes

378 Margarita Drive
Available Off Market
378 Margarita Drive in San Rafael view of Mt. Tamalpais at sunset
378 Margarita Drive | San Rafael
Spectacular Country Club Gated Estate Offering Complete Privacy and Stunning Panoramic Views
Offered Exclusively for $2,595,000

Swipe to See More Homes

40 Alta vista
Sold by Thomas
40 Alta Vista San Anselmo
40 Alta Vista Avenue | San Anselmo
A Chance to Own One of Winship Park’s Legacy Properties on 1+ Acres with Mt. Tam Views
Sold by Thomas for $5,250,000

Swipe to See More Homes

21 Edgewood Way
Sold in One Week for $105,000 Over Asking
21 Edgewood Way San Rafael CA front exterior at twilight
21 Edgewood Way | San Rafael
Beautiful Contemporary Home Offering Panoramic Views in Coveted Fairhills
Sold for $2,300,000 in One Week

Swipe to See More Homes

23 maplewood drive
Sold for $55,000 Over Asking
40 Rodeo Avenue Sausalito living room
23 Maplewood Drive | San Rafael
EBeautifully Remodeled Glenwood Home with Sparkling Swimming Pool and Fenced Backyard with Direct Access to Victor Jones Park
Sold for $2,050,000

Swipe to See More Homes

40 rodeo ave
Sold for $255,000 Over Asking
40 Rodeo Avenue Sausalito living room
40 Rodeo Avenue | Sausalito
Enchanting Mid-Century Modern Retreat with Breathtaking Panoramic Views
Sold in One Week for $1,795,000

Swipe to See More Homes

5 Norwood Ave
Sold in One Day for $505k Over Asking!
5 Norwood Avenue Ross California
5 Norwood Avenue | Ross
Bespoke Spanish Mediterranean Home in the Coveted Flats of Ross
with Walk-to-Everything Convenience
Sold in One Day for $505,000 Over Asking at $4,200,000

Swipe to See More Homes

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Marin Real Estate Market Stats

Marin county home sales by town chart Q32024
Marin county real estate markt trends chart Q32024

Marin County Real Estate Market Report Charts

(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)

“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices

Marin county real estate market report October 2024 home prices chart

Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold

Marin county real estate market report October 2024 days on market chart

Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales

Marin real estate market report October 2024 months of inventory chart

Average Price Per Square Foot

Marin real estate market report October 2024 average price per square foot chart

Marin County Number of Homes on the Market

Marin real estate market report October 2024 number of homes for sale chart

I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.

Would you like to see this data for your town only?

I am also excited to announce that my website now has new real estate market reports by town with more coming soon. Please check these out:

Belvedere Real Estate Market Report

Corte Madera Real Estate Market Report

Fairfax Real Estate Market Report

Kentfield Real Estate Market Report

Larkspur Real Estate Market Report

Mill Valley Real Estate Market Report

Novato Real Estate Market Report

San Anselmo Real Estate Market Report

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report

Tiburon Real Estate Market Report

These are all accessible from the “Market Reports” menu item here on my website at any time.

Marin County Realtor Thomas Henthorne headshot

About the Author

Thomas Henthorne is consistently top-ranked, award-winning real estate agent in Marin, helping people buy and sell homes for almost a decade. He writes the #1 real estate blog in Marin County and is a frequent speaker on panels at industry gatherings.

He may be reached at 415-847-5584.

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